Gold loans have become increasingly popular in India as a quick and convenient way to get funds in times of financial need. With gold prices constantly fluctuating, how do changes in gold rates impact your gold loan? Read on to understand the relationship between the two and how a rising gold price affects gold loans.
What Determines the Gold Price?
A complex interplay of multiple macroeconomic and market factors drives gold prices. The key determinants of gold prices include:
- Global Supply and Demand: The fundamental laws of demand and supply play a major role in determining gold prices. Higher demand combined with constrained supply pushes gold prices higher.
- Inflation and Economic Conditions: Gold is a hedge against inflation and a safe haven in geopolitical or economic uncertainties. Concerns about inflation or downturns tend to increase gold demand and prices.
- Interest Rates: Rising interest rates typically dampen gold prices, increasing the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion. Conversely, falling rates may lead to higher gold prices.
- Strength of the US dollar: Since gold is dollar-denominated, a weaker dollar tends to drive up gold prices, while a stronger stance lowers the prices.
- Central bank policies: Policies and interventions by central banks, especially activities like gold purchases or sales by institutions like the IMF, impact sentiment and prices.
- Jewellery demand: Purchasing gold jewellery, especially from large markets like India and China, significantly influences gold demand and prices.
- Speculative trading: Futures and options trading by hedge funds, asset managers and speculative traders also leads to price volatility in gold.
- Geopolitical uncertainties: Tensions like trade wars, conflicts or political turmoil increase the safe-haven appeal for gold and boost prices.
- Production and discovery: Global gold supply in terms of mine production and new gold discoveries affects availability and has some impact on prices.
How Does Gold Prices Impact Your Gold Loan Value
The two key factors that decide your gold loan amount are:
- The market value of gold
- The maximum loan-to-value (LTV) ratio offered by the gold loan provider
LTV refers to the ratio of the loan amount sanctioned to the value of the gold jewellery pledged as collateral.
For gold loans, the LTV ratio signifies the maximum permitted loan amount in percentage terms against the market value of gold ornaments.
For instance, if the gold rate is ₹3000 per gram and the LTV ratio is 75%, you can get a gold loan of ₹2250 per gram of gold pledged.
If the gold rate rises to ₹3500 per gram, your loan eligibility on the same gold ornaments will increase to ₹2625 per gram of gold (75% of 3500).
Conversely, if gold prices fall, your loan amount also decreases. So, rising gold prices mean higher gold loan value, while falling prices lead to lower loan eligibility.
Impact of Gold Price Changes on Existing Gold Loans
Fluctuations in gold prices also affect existing gold loan borrowers. Here's how:
Rise in Gold Prices
- Loan eligibility on pledged gold increases, so you can get higher top-up loan amount on existing gold collateral
- Loan margin (difference between the market value of gold and loan amount) improves
- Interest cost on the loan comes down due to higher gold price
Fall in Gold Prices
- Loan eligibility for pledged gold decreases
- Loan margin deteriorates
- The borrower may need to pledge additional gold to maintain an adequate margin
- Interest cost increases due to lower gold value
To ensure the loan remains fully secured, gold loan providers recommend you to maintain a minimum 25-30% margin at all times. If this margin dips due to falling gold prices, you must pledge more gold or repay part of the loan.
Protecting Your Gold Loan From Price Changes
While you can benefit from rising prices, a sharp fall can be problematic. Here are some ways to de-risk your gold loan:
- Opt for a loan amount lower than your maximum eligibility to create some equity buffer.
- Closely track gold prices and maintain extra margin always.
- Review loan-to-value ratio periodically and provide additional collateral when required.
- Consider a gold loan variant with a fixed interest rate to limit risk from rate fluctuations.
Summing Up
Gold loan amounts are intrinsically linked to fluctuations in gold prices. Understand this dynamic relationship to make well-informed borrowing decisions. Keep adequate margins, review your loan periodically and make timely repayments. This will ensure you fully benefit from gold loans while effectively managing any risks from gold price volatility. Head over to the official website of Shriram Finance to get started on hassle-free and quick gold loans today!
